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How will AI change the American economy, and how do we ensure that everyone benefits? Peter McCrory, Chief Economist at Anthropic, will discuss what the early evidence shows about how AI is changing work and what policymakers should prepare for next. McCrory leads the Economics team at Anthropic, which publishes the Anthropic Economic Index, new research from inside a frontier lab, and recently a scenario model for the economy of 2030. They will explore AI's effects on productivity, jobs, and wages, as well as how much growth AI could deliver by the end of the decade, how broadly it will be shared, and what policymakers can do to prepare.
This conversation will be moderated by Jason Furman, Aetna Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy, Harvard Kennedy School; Weil Director, Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government.
0:00 Introduction and welcome
10:00 Guest and moderator bios
11:26 Role of the chief economist
15:24 The AI productivity puzzle
21:56 Business adoption and context
24:14 Transformative AI scenarios
33:54 Benchmarking economic growth
40:39 Labor and capital inequality
46:49 Public policy and regulation
55:24 Audience Q&A
